Jos Hornikx
Radboud University Nijmegen, The Netherlands
How good are language users in selecting persuasive evidence?
ABSTRACT: Argumentation theorists have formulated normative, critical questions that can be used to judge the quality of argumentation. In recent studies, such a normative approach towards argument quality (what should be persuasive?) has been compared with descriptive approaches (what is persuasive?). In this study, a similar comparison between expected and actual persuasiveness is made, using lay people as judges. In particular, the argument quality of different evidence types is studied. The question is addressed as to how good lay people are at selecting persuasive evidence. An answer to this question is provided by comparing the actual persuasiveness of evidence types in Hornikx and Hoeken (2005) with the expected persuasiveness of the same evidence types, which is investigated in the current study. Dutch and French participants ranked statistical, anecdotal, causal, and expert evidence in terms of their expected persuasiveness for eight different claims. Both cultural groups expected statistical evidence to be the most persuasive type of evidence to other people, followed by expert, causal, and anecdotal evidence. A comparison of these rankings with the results of Hornikx and Hoeken (2005) reveals that lay people are quite good at selecting persuasive evidence: How relatively persuasive they expected evidence types to be, often corresponded with their actual persuasiveness.
KEYWORDS: actual persuasiveness, argument quality, evidence, experiment, expected persuasiveness